Bitcoin ETF Flows on August 4?

Market Details:

• Market Period: From the publication date until August 4, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
• Market Close: August 4, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
• Resolution Deadline: Once total flows for August 4, 2026 are finalized on the resolution source, or by 12:00 PM ET on August 6, 2026, whichever comes first.

Resolution Criteria:

• Resolves to “Positive” if total Bitcoin ETF flows on August 4, 2026 are greater than 0.
• Resolves to “Negative” if total Bitcoin ETF flows on August 4, 2026 are less than 0.
• If total flows are exactly 0, or if the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12:00 PM ET on August 6, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution Details:

• This market resolves based on the “Total” column for August 4, 2026 on the Farside Investors Bitcoin ETF Flow page.
• Total flows are considered finalized once every ETF provider’s flow data for that day has been published.
• If any ETF provider’s data remains unpublished by 12:00 PM ET on August 6, 2026, this market will resolve using all data published up to that time.

Cancellation Conditions:

• Any circumstance other than the above makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.

If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.