Will the FED cut rates by more than 25 bps before July?

Market Dates:

• Observation Period: From the publication date through June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
• Market Close: June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
• Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after the Observation Period has ended, or earlier if the FED has cut more than 25 bps.

Resolution Criteria:

• Resolves to “Yes” if the FED cuts its interest rates by more than 25 bps during the Observation Period.
• Resolves to “No” if the FED cuts its interest rates not at all, by less than 25 bps or by exactly 25 bps.

Resolution Details:

• This market will resolve based on the official FOMC’s statements throughout the Observation Period.
• Emergency rate lowering will also be counted towards resolution.

Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:

• The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Observation Period.
• Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Observation Period.

In the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.