March Games: Will a #1 Seed win the 2026 NCAA Championship?

Market Dates:

• Market Period: From the publication date until April 4, 2026, at 7:00 AM UTC.
• Market Close: April 4, 2026, at 7:00 AM UTC.
• Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined after the results are published on the resolution source.

Resolution Criteria:

• Resolves “Yes” if either Duke, Arizona, Florida, or Michigan wins the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship.
• Resolves “No” if the championship is won by any other team.

Resolution Details:

• The four #1 seeds that will be considered towards resolution are Duke (East), Arizona (West), Florida (South), and Michigan (Midwest).
• If any game ends tied at the conclusion of regulation, the market will resolve based on the official result after any overtime period(s), as determined by NCAA rules.

Cancelation Conditions:

• The 2026 NCAA Tournament is canceled or suspended before a champion is announced.
• A #1 seed is disqualified or vacated post-tournament in a manner that nullifies the official result prior to market resolution.
• Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively.
• The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable, or fails to provide an official outcome.

If the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancelation.